fumed more of British produce, than formerly, in the proportion of £.5,466,253, to £.4,185,053. "Matter of fact breaks out and blazes with too great an evidence to be denied," fays South, in the fermons, which you admire. 66 Yet, are you determined, that this blaze of fact fhall,not enlighten your fyftem. Of confequence, though Ireland, Man, Guernsey, Jerfey, and Greenland, have lately confumed of British goods more than formerly, in the proportion of £.1,443,361, to £1,063,327, they are no longer to confume, when you wave your wand: and, Shakespeare will have it that, "wizards know their times." Whatever wizards may know, or may do, certain it is, that our cuftomers, without Europe, confumed yearly of British produce, according to a fix years average, ending with 1792, the value of £7,844,345; yet, confumed, according to a fix years average, ending with 1774, the amount only of £.5,093,639. The United States, while they continue their neutrality, will alfo difparage your theory. They had their war-fyftem, and their funding-fyftem: they were completely exhaufted, at the peace of 1783: yet, they confumed annually of British produce, according to a Six years average, ending with 1792, £. 2,807,306 Ditto ending with 1774, only 2,216,824 And, Dean Tucker happily lives to fee this! The prophecies of the worthy Dean were founded in experience, experience, and wisdom: the predictions of other prophets originate merely in theories, and fubtilties. Notwithstanding every prediction, the United States will continue our goodly customers, as they feem wifely determined to enrich themselves by their neutrality. If from the fruitful Weft, we look at the other hemisphere, we shall there perceive how much the Eaft Indies are alfo difpofed to fcoff at your theories. They too have had their funding-fyftem, and their Tippoo-war; yet they annually confumed, of British produce, according to a Six years average, ending with 1792, £.1,921,955 Ditto ending with 1774, 907,240 Here, then, is a drain for the products of our land and labour, to almost three times as great an extent, as the market of France: but, what avails it, if with a dash of your pen, you can blot Afia from the map! We have now run over the foregoing statements, of indubitable facts, in order to fee, which of our customers we are likely to keep, or to lofe, and to what an amount from each. Experience has decided against your theory: yet you are not convinced. You ftill contend*, that we were fupported through the American war; because we exported our manufactures to countries, which could purchase them. Let us again apply facts, as the proper tefts of your reafonings, if fupposes, and sub tilties, may be allowed the honours of argument. At the epoch of the American war, the whole cargoes of foreign and British merchandize, which we exported to all countries, amounted in value £.15,613,003 to So greatly was our export diminished, by the American war, that the whole foreign and British merchandize fent out to all countries, amounted only, in 1781, to The annual lofs, When we were forced into the prefent war, we exported foreign and British merchandize to the vaft value of You were led by your fuppofes and your fubtilties, contrary to the admonitions of experience, to infift, that our commercial loffes will be greater from the prefent, than from the American war. I will allow you to cut off, with your harlequin's sword, from our annual exports, And, there will still remain for our 10,569,187 £.5,043,816 £.24,905,200 6,000,000 fupport, 18,905,200 Such was the lofs on our whole exports from the American war! and fuch the ftill greater lofs, which > which, the prefent war is to cut off, by this harle quin management! Of British manufactures, the American war at once ftopt the export, to the £•4,073,940 Of British manufactures, the prefent war only stopt the annual export to France, the value of 717,807 L-3,356,133 The balance of advantage But, how are you to ftop, during the prefent war, the export, and the confumption, of British manufactures, to the vaft amount of 4.3,356,133 a year? Nothing is fo eafy. By potent charm, I can march from the belligerent nations two millions of men, where they cannot confume; I can impoverish the people, fo that they cannot buy; I can dry their banes, and frivel their mufcles; and I can add to all thefe evils, famine, and peftilence *. Oh! who can tell The hidden power of hearbes, and might of magick skill l Such are the modes, which are propofed to stop the confumption of our manufactures, in pages 25—6—7. C 2 Notwith Notwithstanding the might of magick skill, we can fend our manufactures cheaper to foreign markets, during the prefent, than the American, war. We have greater commercial capitals, which can work commercial wonders. We fee, in your hiftory, that a fort of revolution has taken place in this traffic. The manufacturers themselves now export their goods. The merchant, who was formerly the middle-man, between the manufacturer at home, and the confumer abroad, is now laid afide; and his profit will of courfe be deducted from the price of the merchandize. We have many more fhips at prefent, than we had at the commencement of the American war*: And, we fhall therefore send out our manufactures at smaller freights. In the present war, we have more fleets for us, and fewer against us: and, confequently, the rate of our insurances must be lower, as the rifque is lefst. These reasonings, however foun * See the Chronological Table in the Eftimate. The fubjoined STATEMENT is a fufficient proof: the East-Indies, and China. ded, 1779. £.6 per cent.-1782. 15 Guineas per cent. 1792. January to December, £.3 to 3 Guineas; December, * L.4 and £.5 per cent. 1793. January, L.4 a. 5 Guineas; February and March, 8 Guineas; April to October, £7 a. 7 Guineas; Odober, &c. 6 Guineas. Jamalca, |